30 Jun · 11:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1500
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chadima
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1490
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 100% (16)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H15-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.