30 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kaderabek
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Kaderabek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.