30 Jun · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PF
🇺🇦Pavel Fencl
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Rulc goes over total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)