30 Jun · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇺🇦Ruslan Khripun
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1611
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.