30 Jun · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1493
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vana
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1490
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 100% (16)
Fair odds · Vana
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.