30 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Heinzl
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)