30 Jun · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H31-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-17)