30 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.