30 Jun · 10:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1534
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Derevianko
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H37-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.