30 Jun · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rulc
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1504
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Rulc goes over total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H27-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)