30 Jun · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Khripun
RK
🇺🇦Ruslan Khripun
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Khripun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)