30 Jun · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fencl
PF
🇺🇦Pavel Fencl
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Ullman goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Fencl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)