30 Jun · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1553
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volynets
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Volynets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H34-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.