30 Jun · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1534
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Khripun
RK
🇺🇦Ruslan Khripun
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Khripun
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)