30 Jun · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1613
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lievshin
RK
🇺🇦Ruslan Khripun
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.