30 Jun · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1574
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maltsev
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)