30 Jun · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lifanov
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hainiuk🌟Lifanov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (30)
Fair odds · Lifanov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H19-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.