30 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1546
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrabskyi
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)