30 Jun · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Marushchak
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1441
FormWLLLW
60%
40%
🌟Shmyndra stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)