30 Jun · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FH
🇺🇦Filip Husek
ELO 1447
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotrbacek
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1492
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)