30 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1467
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Torhachov
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1526
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H65-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-45)