30 Jun · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1733
FormWWWWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Balabei
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1420
FormLWWLL
79%
21%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
30%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+313
H2H47-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+313)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-6)