30 Jun · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1527
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yurkov
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1616
FormLLWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H56-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-16)