30 Jun · 15:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TS
🇺🇦Tomas Stejskal
ELO 1494
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stejskal
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Tuma covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Stejskal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.