30 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1604
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hanke
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1551
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)