1 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OG
🇺🇦Oleksii Gazhula
ELO 1559
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1572
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H29-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.