1 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
⚡ Cover lean · Osadchyi🌟Voinarovskyi stays under total as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.