1 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Emets
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.