1 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1372
FormLLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1591
FormWLWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)