1 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Ales Brandtl Snr
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rochowanski
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)