1 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1511
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tebenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1514
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.