1 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1393
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Honcharenko
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1372
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H22-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.