1 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Anatolii Dulich
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dulich
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dulich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.