1 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Osadchyi
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Osadchyi stays under total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.