1 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1650
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wasik
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1619
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.