1 Jul · 11:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Leymanovsky
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.