1 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ziakun
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1440
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H14-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.