1 Jul · 14:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moroz
ELO 1246
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1362
FormLLLLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)