1 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Emets stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H2-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.