1 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polak
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1521
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Polak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.