1 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Oliynyk
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1466
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Oliynyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.