1 Jul · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1418
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Schmidtmayer
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1471
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)