1 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Leymanovsky
MZ
🇺🇦Mykyta Zinov
ELO 1502
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)