1 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1639
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yurkov
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrabskyi
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H36-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-31)