1 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1372
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1422
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)