1 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1418
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Slunecko
RS
🇺🇦Radek Slunecko
ELO 1476
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Slunecko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)