1 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1526
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H11-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.