1 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hlina
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1494
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Tuma covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Hlina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.