1 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ponomarenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1459
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.