1 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Yakimenko
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Voinarovskyi stays under total as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.